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Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Final Oscar Predictions in the Top Categories

This year is going to be very interesting Oscar race in all categories.  There are many films that have locks on Best Picture such as Argo, Les Misérables, Lincoln, Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Linings Playbook, and Life of Pi.  It is the smaller, indie films that are going to have a bit more trouble.  The films that I believe have locks are all mainstream films (Silver Linings Playbook could go either way).  Django Unchained could run into trouble with the acting categories due to the fact that the supporting actors may split the vote.  I am fairly sure that there will be ten Best Picture nominees, as there are a lot of loved films.  The Master is the my only Best Picture choice that I am not sure about.  The other nine seem to be shoo-ins.  Best Director could go many ways, as could Best Actor and Best Actress (all have a few have locks, though).  I am fairly sure with a few of my screenplay nominations in both categories, but there is a lot of room for change.  So, with that, here are my final Oscar predictions.

BEST PICTURE:
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
(Possible Upsets: Amour, Skyfall, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

BEST DIRECTOR:
Ben Affleck (Argo)
David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)
(Upset: Quentin Tarantino for Django Unchained or Tom Hooper for Les Misérables)

BEST ACTOR:
Denzel Washington (Flight)
Hugh Jackman (Les Misérables)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
John Hawkes (The Sessions)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
(Possible Upset: Bradley Cooper could take Phoenix's spot)

BEST ACTRESS:
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
(Possible Upsets: Emmanuelle Riva for Amour or Helen Mirren for Hitchcock)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Alan Arkin (Argo)
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
(Possible Upsets: Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook, John Goodman for Flight or Argo, Javier Bardem for Skyfall)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables)
Maggie Smith (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Amy Adams (The Master)
(Possible Upsets: Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy, Judi Dench for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Looper
Zero Dark Thirty
Django Unchained
Moonrise Kingdom
Amour
(Possible Upsets: Flight, The Master)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Argo
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Beasts of the Southern Wild
(Possible Upsets: Life of Pi, The Sessions)

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